Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 112.873977 124.013007 135.315257 147.616927 160.604460 173.884887 188.467332
2026-01-25 90.283902 106.439079 123.529620 142.851366 163.985540 186.302935 211.554471
2026-02-01 74.011330 93.492368 114.939594 140.042905 168.367608 199.103693 234.745586
2026-02-08 62.263716 84.089885 109.041392 139.179728 174.122445 212.925168 258.842026
2026-02-15 54.065132 77.766338 105.817969 140.659543 182.009568 228.822299 285.142820
2026-02-22 48.962070 74.520653 105.706205 145.368804 193.357388 248.539589 315.807253
2026-03-01 43.540981 70.230833 103.810682 147.517320 201.379600 264.224754 341.764315
2026-03-08 37.713753 64.759582 99.905946 146.745733 205.537646 275.120212 361.978521
2026-03-15 33.862647 61.534435 98.539723 148.869631 213.024083 289.854048 386.674486
2026-03-22 31.412455 60.002952 99.196228 153.422921 223.431719 308.082549 415.578937
2026-03-29 28.645346 57.708228 98.596479 156.167389 231.452018 323.353997 440.939491
2026-04-05 26.530426 56.166887 98.864662 159.932112 240.694289 340.103204 468.120227
2026-04-12 24.230163 54.171735 98.428915 162.779984 248.885830 355.776883 494.339196
2026-04-19 19.776918 48.192327 91.885185 157.002883 245.640609 357.034300 502.799933
2026-04-26 16.512275 43.775027 87.296736 153.643519 245.351952 361.859787 515.574669
2026-05-03 14.164778 40.660426 84.436312 152.524548 247.905933 370.211044 532.703757
2026-05-10 12.623893 38.842735 83.445507 153.981507 253.870285 382.914360 555.315105
2026-05-17 11.909695 38.556098 84.845250 158.905470 264.575757 401.789200 585.799242
2026-05-24 10.765134 37.237173 84.468620 161.144686 271.567009 415.852845 610.241678
2026-05-31 9.221874 34.828666 82.119401 160.310452 274.216076 424.202464 627.409609
2026-06-07 8.321354 33.702538 81.843454 162.546426 281.119061 438.136591 651.744907
2026-06-14 7.873150 33.568980 83.251110 167.353480 291.659671 456.917156 682.373435
2026-06-21 7.197131 32.777741 83.443874 170.249764 299.490019 472.127907 708.461749